Preferences are out

The Senate group ticket preferencing deals are out. These are the preferences that apply for the majority of voters who vote above-the-line. Some interesting things have popped up -- I'm looking at the NSW tickets, you can see the full list on the AEC site.

  • The Liberal Party are preferencing the religious fascists (Fred Nile, then Family First), but they aren't returning the favour.
  • A vote for LaRouche nutjobs Citzens Electoral Council is essentially a vote for the Coalition, with preferences going straight there and likely to stay.
  • Family First are pretty keen on the Liberty & Democracy Party, with preferences going there straight after Carers Alliance. Have they actually read and understood the LDP's policies? Not really compatible with the heavily-regulated sexuality state they're keen on.
  • As I suspected, Climate Change Coalition are doing dodgy things. They've preferences The Fishing Party ahead of The Greens! Family First are well ahead in their list too.
  • What Women Want have tried to screw Labor by giving their first preference flowing to the party to the third person on the Labor ticket. Not sure if this works though. Any amateur psephologists care to comment?
  • The LDP's ticket shows their policies don't quite match their actions. Family First benefit from their preferences, so it looks like both sides have put aside their (substantial) ideological differences for a grubby preference swap. Here we have a party that wants top install a theocracy regulating all sexuality doing a deal with a bunch of self-proclaimed libertarians. That's Catholic levels of ideological contortion!
  • The Democrats have shown their true colours again, preferencing LDP ahead of The Greens. I guess this probably tallies with the core values of the party, given they were the small 'l' splinter group from the Liberals, but I suspect most people voting that way wouldn't realise they'd take libertarianism as far as the LDP!
  • No surprises that Conservatives for Climate and Environment preferences essentially flow to and stay with the Coalition. So if you're looking to give Howard a bloody nose, this isn't the way to do it.
  • Democratic Labor Party, in case you don't know, were a hardcore Catholic splinter from the Labor Party. No surprises, then, that they preference Fred Nile and Family First. More interesting though is that they preference the Coalition ahead of Labor. Given the effects on families of the odious WorkChoices legislation, this is very interesting.
  • The Fishing Party seems to have done some judicious deals. They've got a lot of people preferencing in, so their outgoing preferences seem quite erratic as they pay back the favours. Certainly seems little ideological rationale behind it.
  • Fred Nile is definitely beind a shrewd player, similar to the Fish Party strategy of harvesting a lot in, then repaying back out.
  • Non-Custodial Parents Party is a dark horse, with preferences going straight to Pauline, into Fishing Party and Family First. I doubt most single parents would want their preferences flowing to parties like that.
  • Group V seems to just be harvesting votes for the Coalition.
  • Labor are honouring their agreement, with preferences going straight to The Greens, having learnt their lesson in helping get Steve Price elected for the religious fascists last time around. Interestingly, they preference DLP quite highly -- some unrequited love going on there.
  • Carers Alliance seem to have gone down the grubby preference path. Surely preferencing CEC is a grubby step too far, and won't be worth much in preferences anyway!
  • So lots of interesting deals in there, some extremely grubby. It's hilarious hearing Family First talk about the (open and honestly discussed) preference deal between Labor and The Greens as "grubby" given their filthy deals with LDP and Non-Custodial Parents (surely they'd be encouraging the parents to stay together?).